[MCN] on groping for forest policy in time of forest change

[Lance Olsen]

Biological Conservation, February 2016 in 
progress, all articles final and fully citable.

How climate change adaptation and mitigation 
strategies can threaten or enhance the 
biodiversity of production forests: Insights from 
Sweden

A. Felton, L. Gustafsson, J.-M. Roberge, T. 
Ranius, J. Hjältén, J. Rudolphi, M. Lindbladh, J. 
Weslien, L. Rist, J. Brunet, A.M. Felton

Highlights__

oClimate change adaptation and mitigation 
strategies are changing forest management.__

oThese changes can conflict with biodiversity goals for production forests.__

oWe develop a framework to assess 7 CCAMS applied 
to Sweden's production forests.__

oWe found that CCAMS often came into direct or 
partial conflict with biodiversity goals.__

oWe challenge the need for trade-offs and provide 
pathways to synergistic outcomes.
Abstract here:
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0006320715301762

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"Drought and heat-induced tree mortality is 
accelerating in many forest biomes as a 
consequence of a warming climate, resulting in a 
threat to global forests unlike any in recorded 
history (1-12)."

"   Š.  we conclude with high certainty that 
today's forests are going to be subject to 
continued increases in mortality rates that will 
result in substantial reorganization of their 
structure and carbon storage."

Nathan G. McDowell and Craig D. Allen. Darcy's 
law predicts widespread forest mortality under 
climate warming.
Nature Climate Change. Published online 18 MAY 2015
DOI: 10.1038/NCLIMATE2641
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"Freshwater limitations in some irrigated regions 
(western United States; China; and West, South, 
and Central Asia) could necessitate the reversion 
of 20-60 Mha of cropland from irrigated to 
rainfed management by end-of-century."

Joshua Elliott, Delphine Deryng, Christoph 
Müller, Katja Frieler et al. Constraints and 
potentials of future irrigation water 
availability on agricultural production under 
climate change. PNAS vol. 111 no. 9
doi: 10.1073/pnas.1222474110
http://www.pnas.org/content/111/9/3239.abstract


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