[MCN] The world will likely miss 1.5 C. Why isn’t anyone saying so? -- Climate change to impact mountains on a global scale - et al

[Lance Olsen]

Missoula-community-news at bigskynet.org



CLIMATEWIRE 11/11/2022 
The world will likely miss 1.5 C. Why isn’t anyone saying so?
By Chelsea Harvey 
https://www.eenews.net/articles/the-world-will-likely-miss-1-5-c-why-isnt-anyone-saying-so/ <https://www.eenews.net/articles/the-world-will-likely-miss-1-5-c-why-isnt-anyone-saying-so/>

Excerpts 

“Individually, in private, I don’t think I know of many climate scientists that think 1.5 C is possible (I could count them on a hand),” Glen Peters, a climate policy expert and research director at the Centre for International Climate and Environmental Research in Norway, said in an email to E&E News.

Some scientists now suggest that public optimism about 1.5 C gives the world false hope and could even contribute to further delays in zeroing out global carbon emissions. But that’s not a consensus viewpoint. Other experts warn that prematurely killing the target could have a chilling effect on global climate action — and cause confusion about what target the world is supposed to focus on next.

Yet many scientists privately believe the world has already hit the point of no return. And some say it’s time to make that message public.

Last year, the prestigious journal Nature surveyed scientists who helped <https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-021-02990-w> author the latest reports from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the world’s leading authority on climate science. Out of the 92 anonymous respondents, the vast majority expected the world to warm by more than 1.5 C by the end of the century. Sixty percent of them predicted warming of at least 3 C.

“False hope and narratives allow people to disengage with reality and allow them to avoid becoming climate activists,” he said. “We have to find a way to mobilize these smart people who, like all of us, are feeling overwhelmed and are looking for excuses to feel like maybe it’s not as bad as people like me are saying it is.”

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 <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/970410>
Climate change to impact mountains on a global scale <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/970410>
 <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/970410>
 <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/970410>
Under the threat of climate change, mountain landscapes all over the world have the risk of becoming more hazardous to communities surrounding them, while their accelerated evolution may bring further environmental risks to surrounding areas. <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/970410>
JOURNAL PeerJ <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/970410>
 <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/970410>
https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/970410 <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/970410>

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7-Nov-2022 <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/970422>
Working with mountain communities could help water systems adapt to climate <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/970422>
IMPERIAL COLLEGE LONDON <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/970422>
 <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/970422>
 <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/970422>
Imperial scientists have shared how working directly with mountain communities could drive adaptation to the loss of their main water sources. <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/970422>
 <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/970422>
JOURNAL — Nature Sustainability <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/970422>
 <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/970422>
https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/970422 <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/970422>

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'Psychological barrier' hindering investment in climate adaptation <https://news.google.com/articles/CBMiZmh0dHBzOi8vd3d3LnJlc3BvbnNpYmxlLWludmVzdG9yLmNvbS9wc3ljaG9sb2dpY2FsLWJhcnJpZXItaGluZGVyaW5nLWludmVzdG1lbnQtaW4tY2xpbWF0ZS1hZGFwdGF0aW9uL9IBAA?hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US%3Aen>
Responsible Investor

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7-Nov-2022 <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/970430>
 <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/970430>
ASU leads $25M project to develop Southwest urban integrated field laboratory <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/970430>
ARIZONA STATE UNIVERSITY <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/970430>
 <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/970430>
A new center based in Arizona State University’s School of Geographical Science and Urban Planning has received $25 million in funding from the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) over five years to develop new understandings of the interacting stresses of extreme heat, atmospheric pollutants, and limited water supply on vulnerable communities across Arizona. <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/970430>
FUNDER <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/970430>
DOE/US Department of Energy <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/970430>
https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/970430 <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/970434>

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South China Morning Post  7 Nov, 2022


Planet Earth: 8 billion people and dwindling resources <https://news.google.com/articles/CBMiZWh0dHBzOi8vd3d3LnNjbXAuY29tL25ld3Mvd29ybGQvYXJ0aWNsZS8zMTk4Njg1L3BsYW5ldC1lYXJ0aC04LWJpbGxpb24tcGVvcGxlLWFuZC1kd2luZGxpbmctcmVzb3VyY2Vz0gFlaHR0cHM6Ly9hbXAuc2NtcC5jb20vbmV3cy93b3JsZC9hcnRpY2xlLzMxOTg2ODUvcGxhbmV0LWVhcnRoLTgtYmlsbGlvbi1wZW9wbGUtYW5kLWR3aW5kbGluZy1yZXNvdXJjZXM?hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US%3Aen>
The UN estimates that the global human population will reach billion by mid-November
Experts say overconsumption of the planet’s resources is a bigger problem than overpopulation


Excerpt

“ Instead of the fear of overpopulation, we should focus on the overconsumption of the planet’s resources by the wealthiest among us.

https://www.scmp.com/news/world/article/3198685/planet-earth-8-billion-people-and-dwindling-resources


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Widespread failure of acorn crop this year means interactions with bears more likely in Connecticut <https://news.google.com/articles/CBMijwFodHRwczovL3d3dy53dG5oLmNvbS9uZXdzL2Nvbm5lY3RpY3V0L2RlZXAtd2lkZXNwcmVhZC1mYWlsdXJlLW9mLWFjb3JuLWNyb3AtdGhpcy15ZWFyLW1lYW5zLWludGVyYWN0aW9ucy13aXRoLWJlYXJzLW1vcmUtbGlrZWx5LWluLWNvbm5lY3RpY3V0L9IBkwFodHRwczovL3d3dy53dG5oLmNvbS9uZXdzL2Nvbm5lY3RpY3V0L2RlZXAtd2lkZXNwcmVhZC1mYWlsdXJlLW9mLWFjb3JuLWNyb3AtdGhpcy15ZWFyLW1lYW5zLWludGVyYWN0aW9ucy13aXRoLWJlYXJzLW1vcmUtbGlrZWx5LWluLWNvbm5lY3RpY3V0L2FtcC8?hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US%3Aen>
WTNH.com <http://wtnh.com/>


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PNAS 2022 Vol. 119 No. 42 

https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2210525119 

OPINION 




Climate change and the threat to civilization 

Daniel Steela, C. Tyler DesRochesb,1 , and Kian Mintz-Wooc,d 

1st 2 paragraphs

In a speech about climate change from April 4th of this year, UN General Secretary Antonio Guterres lambasted “the empty pledges that put us on track to an unlivable world” and warned that “we are on a fast track to climate disaster” (1). Although stark, Guterres’ statements were not novel. Guterres has made similar remarks on previous occasions, as have other public figures, including Sir David Attenborough, who warned in 2018 that inaction on climate change could lead to “the collapse of our civilizations” (2). In their article, “World Scientists’ Warning of a Climate Emergency 2021”—which now has more than 14,700 signatories from 158 countries—William J. Ripple and colleagues state that climate change could “cause significant disruptions to ecosystems, society, and economies, potentially making large areas of Earth uninhabitable” (3). 

Because civilization cannot exist in unlivable or uninhabitable places, all of the above warnings can be understood as asserting the potential for anthropogenic climate change to cause civilization collapse (or “climate collapse”) to a greater or lesser extent. Yet despite discussing many adverse impacts, climate science literature, as synthesized for instance by assessment reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), has little at all to say about whether or under which conditions climate change might threaten civilization. 


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