[MCN] Breaking past 1.5C limit, air travel emissions, EVs, water crises, and expanding range of a fungal disease

[Lance Olsen]

 <https://www.ecowatch.com/el-nino-weather-2023.html>
Warning of 'Off the Chart' Temperatures as El Niño Returns <https://www.ecowatch.com/el-nino-weather-2023.html>
EcoWatch <https://www.ecowatch.com/el-nino-weather-2023.html>
https://www.ecowatch.com › el-nino-weather-2023 <https://www.ecowatch.com/el-nino-weather-2023.html>

Jan 17, 2023 — “It's very likely that the next big El Niño could take us over 1.5C,” said head of long range prediction at the UK Met Office professor Adam ...

 <https://metro.co.uk/2023/01/17/2023-set-to-bring-unprecedented-heatwaves-as-el-nino-returns-18114001/>
2023 set to bring unprecedented heatwaves as El Niño returns <https://metro.co.uk/2023/01/17/2023-set-to-bring-unprecedented-heatwaves-as-el-nino-returns-18114001/>
https://metro.co.uk › News › Tech <https://metro.co.uk/2023/01/17/2023-set-to-bring-unprecedented-heatwaves-as-el-nino-returns-18114001/>

Jan 17, 2023 — Early forecasts suggest that El Niño will return later in 2023 making it 'very likely' that the world will exceed 1.5 C of warming.


*****************************************
 <https://www.nytimes.com/2022/10/07/climate/aviation-emissions-net-zero.html>

Nations Agree to Curb Emissions From Flying by 2050 <https://www.nytimes.com/2022/10/07/climate/aviation-emissions-net-zero.html>
https://www.nytimes.com › aviation-emissions-net-zero <https://www.nytimes.com/2022/10/07/climate/aviation-emissions-net-zero.html>

Oct 9, 2022 — The target to reach “net zero” emissions — a point in which air travel is no longer pumping any additional carbon dioxide into the ...

*****************************************

2-Feb-2023 <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/978478>
Study links adoption of electric vehicles with less air pollution and improved health <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/978478>
 <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/978478>
KECK SCHOOL OF MEDICINE OF USC <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/978478>
PEER-REVIEWED PUBLICATION <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/978478>
 <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/978478>
A team of researchers from the Keck School of Medicine of USC have now begun to document the actual impact of electric vehicle adoption in the first study to use real-world data to link electric cars, air pollution and health. Leveraging publicly available datasets, the researchers analyzed a “natural experiment” occurring in California as residents in the state rapidly transitioned to electric cars, or light-duty zero emissions vehicles (ZEVs). The team compared data on total ZEV registration, air pollution levels and asthma-related emergency room visits across the state between 2013 to 2019. As ZEV adoption increased within a given zip code, local air pollution levels and emergency room visits dropped. <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/978478>
 <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/978478>
JOURNAL <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/978478>
Science of The Total Environment <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/978478>
https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/978478 <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/978478>


*****************************************

NEWS RELEASE 2-FEB-2023
Water crises due to climate change: more severe than previously thought
VIENNA UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY

Excerpts

 An analysis of measurement data from over 9,500 hydrological catchments from all over the world shows that climate change can lead to local water crises to an even greater extent than previously expected. The results have now been published in the scientific journal Nature Water.

More severe than assumed
In any case, the results of the research team around Günter Blöschl show that the danger of climate change on the water supply in many parts of the world may have been underestimated so far. Especially for Africa, Australia and North America, the new data predict a significantly higher risk of water supply crises by 2050 than previously assumed.

JOURNAL
Nature Water
DOI
10.1038/s44221-023-00030-7  <http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s44221-023-00030-7>

*****************************************


GeoHealth <https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/24711403> First published: 30 August 2019

Expansion of Coccidioidomycosis Endemic Regions in the United States in Response to Climate Change

Morgan E. Gorris <https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/action/doSearch?ContribAuthorRaw=Gorris%2C+Morgan+E>, Kathleen K. Treseder <https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/action/doSearch?ContribAuthorRaw=Treseder%2C+Kathleen+K>, Charles S. Zender <https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/action/doSearch?ContribAuthorRaw=Zender%2C+Charles+S>, James T. Randerson <https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/action/doSearch?ContribAuthorRaw=Randerson%2C+James+T>

Open Access
PDF <https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2019GH000209>
https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GH000209 <https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GH000209>


Abstract

Coccidioidomycosis (Valley fever) is a fungal disease endemic to the southwestern United States. Across this region, temperature and precipitation influence the extent of the endemic region and number of Valley fever cases. Climate projections for the western United States indicate that temperatures will increase and precipitation patterns will shift, which may alter disease dynamics. We estimated the area potentially endemic to Valley fever using a climate niche model derived from contemporary climate and disease incidence data. We then used our model with projections of climate from Earth system models to assess how endemic areas will change during the 21st century. By 2100 in a high warming scenario, our model predicts that the area of climate-limited endemicity will more than double, the number of affected states will increase from 12 to 17, and the number of Valley fever cases will increase by 50%. The Valley fever endemic region will expand north into dry western states, including Idaho, Wyoming, Montana, Nebraska, South Dakota, and North Dakota. Precipitation will limit the disease from spreading into states farther east and along the central and northern Pacific coast. This is the first quantitative estimate of how climate change may influence Valley fever in the United States. Our predictive model of Valley fever endemicity may provide guidance to public health officials to establish disease surveillance programs and design mitigation efforts to limit the impacts of this disease..


-----------------------------------------------------

"Politicians strain to outdo each other with promises to 'get tough' on crime and to bring law and order back to the streets….There is no question that common street crime is an important social concern. But its image has become so bloated in the mirror of public opinion that it blocks our view of the white collar crimes which are both more costly and more dangerous to society."

James Coleman. The Criminal Elite. 1985. St. Martin's Press

————————————————————

"In a corrupt environment, resources will be directed toward such non-productive areas as the police, armed forces and other organs of social control and repression as the elites move to protect themselves, their positions and their material wealth …   resources otherwise available for socio-economic development will be diverted into security expenditure."

John McFarlane. Transnational Crime, Corruption and Crony Capitalism in the Twenty-First Century. Transnational Organized Crime. Vol. 4 No. 2, Summer 1998

-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: <http://bigskynet.org/pipermail/missoula-community-news_bigskynet.org/attachments/20230204/68a3c9d5/attachment.html>