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gamble"</title></head><body>
<div><font face="Lucida Grande"><i>Earth's Future</i> - An American
Geophysical Union open access journal</font><font face="Arial"><br>
</font><font face="Lucida Grande">Accepted manuscript online: 24
August 2016</font><br>
<font face="Arial"></font></div>
<div><font face="Lucida Grande">Accepted articles have been accepted
for publication but not edited. They may be cited. The final
edited version of record will appear in the future.</font></div>
<div><font face="Arial"><br>
</font><font face="Lucida Grande"><b>The world's biggest
gamble</b></font><font face="Arial"><br>
</font><font face="Lucida Grande">Johan Rockström, Hans Joachim
Schellnhuber, Brian Hoskins, Veerabhadran Ramanathan, Peter Schlosser,
Guy Pierre Brasseur, Owen Gaffney, Carlos Nobre, Malte Meinsheusen,
Joeri Rogelj, et al</font><font face="Arial"><br>
</font><font face="Lucida Grande"><br>
Abstract [Open Access]<b> [bold added]</b></font><font
face="Arial"><br>
</font><font
face="Lucida Grande"><u
>http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016EF000392/abstract</u></font
><br>
<font face="Arial"></font></div>
<div><font face="Lucida Grande"><b>The scale of the decarbonisation
challenge to meet the Paris Agreement is underplayed in the public
arena. It will require precipitous emission reductions and a new
carbon sink on the scale of the ocean sink within 40 years.</b> Even
then, the world is extremely likely to overshoot. A catastrophic
failure of policy, for example waiting another decade for
transformative policy and full commitments to fossil-free economies,
will have irreversible and deleterious repercussions for humanity's
remaining time on Earth<b>.</b> Only a global zero carbon roadmap will
put the world on a course to phase-out greenhouse gas emissions and
create the essential carbon sinks for Earth-system stability, without
which, world prosperity is not possible.</font></div>
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"The biosphere -- this thin film of air and water and soil and
life no deeper than ten miles, or one four-hundredth of the earth's
radius -- is now the setting of the uncertain history of
man."</font></div>
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"Man must learn to see himself in his true place and proportion in
the biosphere."</font></div>
<div><font size="-1" color="#000000"><br>
The Editors,<i> Scientific American</i>. Foreword to<i> The
Biosphere</i>, the book version of<i> Scientific American's</i>
September 1970 special issue on The Biosphere.</font></div>
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</b>"The growth in CO2 emissions closely follows the growth in Gross
Domestic Product (GDP) corrected for improvements in energy
efficiency."</font></div>
<div><font face="Geneva" size="-1" color="#000000"><br>
P. Friedlingstein, et al. "Update on CO2 emissions."<br>
<i>Nature Geoscience.</i> Published online: 21 November 2010<br>
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<div><font face="Bookman Old Style" color="#000000">"Changes in
world GDP (WGDP) have a significant effect on CO2 concentrations, so
that years of above-trend WGDP are years of greater rise of CO2
concentrations."<br>
<br>
Granados et al. Climate change and the world economy: short-run
determinants of atmospheric CO2.<i> Environmental science &
policy</i> 21 (2012) 50-62</font></div>
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