<html><head><meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html charset=utf-8"></head><body style="word-wrap: break-word; -webkit-nbsp-mode: space; -webkit-line-break: after-white-space;" class=""><div class="cleared top-links" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; zoom: 1; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: arial, helvetica, 'ＭＳ Ｐゴシック', 'ＭＳ ゴシック', Osaka, 'MS PGothic', sans-serif; font-variant-ligatures: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: Verdana;" class="">Nature Climate Change May 31 2017</span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="background-color: white;"><span style="font-family: Verdana; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: -0.5pt;" class="">REVIEW<o:p class=""></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="background-color: white;"><span style="font-family: Verdana; letter-spacing: -0.5pt;" class="">Forest disturbances under climate
change</span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left: 0in; text-indent: -0.25in; background-color: white;"><!--[if !supportLists]--><span style="font-family: Symbol;" class=""><span style="mso-list:Ignore" class="">·<span style="font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: normal; line-height: normal; font-family: 'Times New Roman';" class="">
</span></span></span><!--[endif]--><span style="font-family: Verdana;" class=""><a href="https://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v7/n6/full/nclimate3303.html#auth-1" class=""><span style="mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt;color:windowtext;text-decoration:none;
text-underline:none" class="">Rupert Seidl</span></a> et al</span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left: 0in; text-indent: -0.25in; background-color: white;"><span style="font-family: Verdana;" class=""> Abstract</span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="background-color: white;"><span style="font-family: Verdana;" class=""><a href="https://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v7/n6/full/nclimate3303.html" class="">https://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v7/n6/full/nclimate3303.html</a><o:p class=""></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="background-color: white;"><span style="font-family: Verdana;" class="">Forest
disturbances are sensitive to climate. However, our understanding of
disturbance dynamics in response to climatic changes remains incomplete,
particularly regarding large-scale patterns, interaction effects and dampening
feedbacks. Here we provide a global synthesis of climate change effects on
important abiotic (fire, drought, wind, snow and ice) and biotic (insects and
pathogens) disturbance agents. Warmer and drier conditions particularly
facilitate fire, drought and insect disturbances, while warmer and wetter
conditions increase disturbances from wind and pathogens. Widespread
interactions between agents are likely to amplify disturbances, while indirect
climate effects such as vegetation changes can dampen long-term disturbance
sensitivities to climate. Future changes in disturbance are likely to be most
pronounced in coniferous forests and the boreal biome. We conclude that both
ecosystems and society should be prepared for an increasingly disturbed future
of forests.</span></p></div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class="">
<div style="word-wrap: break-word; -webkit-nbsp-mode: space; -webkit-line-break: after-white-space;" class=""><div style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: Verdana; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;">++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++<br class="">“Policy and management have focused primarily on ... fire suppression and fuels management. </div><div style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: Verdana; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;">These strategies are inadequate to address a new era of western wildfires …. We propose an </div><div style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: Verdana; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;">approach that accepts wildfire as an inevitable catalyst of change and that promotes adaptive </div><div style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: Verdana; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;">responses by ecosystems and residential communities to more warming and wildfire. “<br class=""> <br class="">Schoennagel et al. Adapt to more wildfire in western North American forests as climate changes. </div><div style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: Verdana; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;">PNAS Early Edition<br class=""><a href="http://www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.1617464114" class="">www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.1617464114</a></div></div>
</div>
<br class=""></body></html>