<html><head><meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html charset=utf-8"></head><body style="word-wrap: break-word; -webkit-nbsp-mode: space; -webkit-line-break: after-white-space;" class="">Excerpts from the introductory paragraphs:<div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""><p class="clay-paragraph" data-editable="text" data-uri="nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/components/clay-paragraph/instances/cj4u7eljc00013d5sfa4zjp63@published" data-word-count="4" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: inherit; text-rendering: optimizeLegibility; margin: 0px 0px 15px; color: rgb(17, 17, 17); font-family: Georgia, serif; font-size: inherit; line-height: 23px; font-variant-ligatures: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2;"><em style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: inherit; text-rendering: optimizeLegibility;" class=""><b class="">Peering beyond scientific reticence.</b></em></p><p class="clay-paragraph" data-editable="text" data-uri="nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/components/clay-paragraph/instances/cj4viq4bf00003d5swvuzdtov@published" data-word-count="99" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: inherit; text-rendering: optimizeLegibility; margin: 0px 0px 15px; line-height: 23px; font-variant-ligatures: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2;">"It is, I promise, worse than you think. If your anxiety about global warming is dominated by fears of sea-level rise, you are barely scratching the surface of what terrors are possible, even within the lifetime of a teenager today."</p><p class="clay-paragraph" data-editable="text" data-uri="nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/components/clay-paragraph/instances/cj4viq4ci00013d5st3d7wbv6@published" data-word-count="36" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: inherit; text-rendering: optimizeLegibility; margin: 0px 0px 15px; line-height: 23px; font-variant-ligatures: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2;">"Indeed, absent a significant adjustment to how billions of humans conduct their lives, parts of the Earth will likely become close to uninhabitable, and other parts horrifically inhospitable, as soon as the end of this century.</p><div data-uri="nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/components/ad/instances/cj4u5jzx8000dosy6hbk3srk2@published" data-placeholder="settings" class="vp-1024-plus ad" data-name="/4088/nym.nymag/Daily_Intelligencer" data-sizes="528x379" data-label="outStreamDesktop" id="ad-cid-euPZ3MxX" data-google-query-id="COzLoqHw_tQCFY2Ofgodl6EHjQ" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: inherit; text-rendering: optimizeLegibility; margin: 0px auto; position: relative; text-align: center; z-index: 1; height: 1px; overflow: hidden; font-variant-ligatures: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2;"><div id="google_ads_iframe_/4088/nym.nymag/Daily_Intelligencer_4__container__" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: inherit; text-rendering: optimizeLegibility; margin: 0px auto; border: 0pt none;" class=""><iframe id="google_ads_iframe_/4088/nym.nymag/Daily_Intelligencer_4" title="3rd party ad content" name="google_ads_iframe_/4088/nym.nymag/Daily_Intelligencer_4" width="528" height="379" scrolling="no" marginwidth="0" marginheight="0" frameborder="0" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: inherit; text-rendering: optimizeLegibility; margin: 0px auto; border-width: 0px; vertical-align: bottom;" class=""></iframe></div></div><p class="clay-paragraph" data-editable="text" data-uri="nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/components/clay-paragraph/instances/cj4viq4hg00073d5svxtewmht@published" data-word-count="76" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: inherit; text-rendering: optimizeLegibility; margin: 0px 0px 15px; line-height: 23px; font-variant-ligatures: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2;">"Even when we train our eyes on climate change, we are unable to comprehend its scope."</p><div class="">"<span style="font-variant-ligatures: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2;" class="">Maybe you know that already — there are alarming stories every day, like last month’s satellite data </span><a href="https://www.carbonbrief.org/major-correction-to-satellite-data-shows-140-faster-warming-since-1998" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: inherit; text-rendering: optimizeLegibility; padding: 0px; text-decoration: none; font-variant-ligatures: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2;" class="">showing </a><span style="font-variant-ligatures: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2;" class="">the globe warming, since 1998, more than twice as fast as scientists had thought.”</span></div><div class=""><span style="color: rgb(17, 17, 17); font-variant-ligatures: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2;" class=""><<</span><a href="https://www.carbonbrief.org/major-correction-to-satellite-data-shows-140-faster-warming-since-1998" class="">https://www.carbonbrief.org/major-correction-to-satellite-data-shows-140-faster-warming-since-1998</a><span style="color: rgb(17, 17, 17); orphans: 2; widows: 2;" class="">>></span></div><div class=""><span style="color: rgb(17, 17, 17); font-variant-ligatures: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2;" class=""><br class=""></span></div><div class=""><span style="font-variant-ligatures: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2;" class="">"</span><span style="orphans: 2; widows: 2;" class="">But no matter how well-informed you are, you are surely not alarmed enough. Over the past decades, our culture has gone apocalyptic with zombie movies and</span><span style="orphans: 2; widows: 2;" class=""> </span><a href="http://www.vulture.com/2016/07/the-present-worse-than-fictional-dystopias.html" style="orphans: 2; widows: 2; -webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: inherit; text-rendering: optimizeLegibility; padding: 0px; text-decoration: none;" class=""><em style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: inherit; text-rendering: optimizeLegibility;" class="">Mad Max</em> dystopias</a><span style="orphans: 2; widows: 2;" class="">, perhaps the collective result of displaced climate anxiety, and yet when it comes to contemplating real-world warming dangers, we suffer from an incredible failure of imagination. The reasons for that are many: the timid language of scientific probabilities, which the climatologist James Hansen once called “scientific reticence” in a paper chastising scientists for editing their own observations so conscientiously that they failed to communicate how dire the threat really was; the fact that the country is dominated by a group of technocrats who believe any problem can be solved and an opposing culture that doesn’t even see warming as a problem worth addressing; the way that climate denialism has made scientists even more cautious in offering speculative warnings; the simple speed of change and, also, its slowness, such that we are only seeing effects now of warming from decades past; our uncertainty about uncertainty, which the climate writer Naomi Oreskes in particular has suggested stops us from preparing as though anything worse than a median outcome were even possible; the way we assume climate change will hit hardest elsewhere, not everywhere; the smallness (two degrees) and largeness (1.8 trillion tons) and abstractness (400 parts per million) of the numbers; the discomfort of considering a problem that is very difficult, if not impossible, to solve; the altogether incomprehensible scale of that problem, which amounts to the prospect of our own annihilation; simple fear. But aversion arising from fear is a form of denial, too.</span></div><div class=""><span style="orphans: 2; widows: 2;" class=""><br class=""></span></div><p class="clay-paragraph" data-editable="text" data-uri="nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/components/clay-paragraph/instances/cj4viq4hc00063d5s95teh31j@published" data-word-count="126" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: inherit; text-rendering: optimizeLegibility; margin: 0px 0px 15px; line-height: 23px; font-variant-ligatures: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2;">"In between scientific reticence and science fiction is science itself. This article is the result of dozens of interviews and exchanges with climatologists and researchers in related fields and reflects hundreds of scientific papers on the subject of climate change. What follows is not a series of predictions of what will happen — that will be determined in large part by the much-less-certain science of human response. Instead, it is a portrait of our best understanding of where the planet is heading absent aggressive action. It is unlikely that all of these warming scenarios will be fully realized, largely because the devastation along the way will shake our complacency. But those scenarios, and not the present climate, are the baseline. In fact, they are our schedule."</p><div class="">Full story :</div><div class=""><a href="http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2017/07/climate-change-earth-too-hot-for-humans.html" class="">http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2017/07/climate-change-earth-too-hot-for-humans.html</a></div><div class=""><div style="word-wrap: break-word; -webkit-nbsp-mode: space; -webkit-line-break: after-white-space;" class=""><div>-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------<br class="">“How does one justify trying to cope with what may be intractable problems? <br class="">The very nature of the question belies its origins in the assumption of science <br class="">that one has to believe that all problems are solvable.”<br class=""><br class="">Seymour Sarason. The Nature of Problem Solving in Social Action. <br class="">American Psychologist. April, 1978</div></div></div><div class="">*******************************************************************************************<br class="">“ Ecosystem management must avoid two traps: falsely assuming a tame solution and inaction from overwhelming complexity. “<br class=""><br class="">Ruth DeFries, Harini Nagendra. Ecosystem management as a wicked problem. Science 21 Apr 2017 Special Issue: Ecosystem Earth</div></div><div class="">
<div style="word-wrap: break-word; -webkit-nbsp-mode: space; -webkit-line-break: after-white-space;" class=""><div style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: Verdana; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;">————————————————————————————————</div><div style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: Verdana; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;">"What would happen to the climate if we were to stop emitting carbon dioxide today, right now? Would we return to the climate of our elders?<br class=""><br class="">"The simple answer is no.”</div><div style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: Verdana; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;"><br class=""></div><div style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: Verdana; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;"><a href="https://theconversation.com/if-we-stopped-emitting-greenhouse-gases-right-now-would-we-stop-climate-change-78882" class="">https://theconversation.com/if-we-stopped-emitting-greenhouse-gases-right-now-would-we-stop-climate-change-78882</a><br class=""></div><div style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: Verdana; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;"><br class=""></div></div><br class="Apple-interchange-newline">
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