<html><head><meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html charset=utf-8"></head><body style="word-wrap: break-word; -webkit-nbsp-mode: space; -webkit-line-break: after-white-space;" class=""><div style="margin: 0.1pt 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: verdana, sans-serif; font-size: small; font-variant-ligatures: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);" class=""><span style="font-family: Verdana;" class=""> <b class=""> +++=======Direct consequence======+++</b></span></div><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0.1pt 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: verdana, sans-serif; font-size: small; font-variant-ligatures: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="font-family: Verdana;" class=""> </span></p><div style="margin: 0.1pt 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: verdana, sans-serif; font-size: small; font-variant-ligatures: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);" class=""><span style="font-family: Verdana;" class="">“Based on the climatic conditions of those lethal heat events, we identified a global threshold beyond which daily mean surface air temperature and relative humidity become deadly. Around <b class="">30% of the world’s population is currently exposed</b> to climatic conditions exceeding this deadly threshold for at least 20 days a year. By 2100, <b class="">this percentage is projected to increase to </b></span><span style="font-family: Monaco;" class=""><b class="">∼</b></span><span style="font-family: Verdana;" class=""><b class="">48% under a scenario with drastic reductions of greenhouse gas emissions</b> and </span><span style="font-family: Monaco;" class="">∼</span><span style="font-family: Verdana;" class="">74% under a scenario of growing emissions. An increasing threat to human life from excess heat now seems almost inevitable, but will be greatly aggravated if greenhouse gases are not considerably reduced. “</span></div><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0.1pt 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: verdana, sans-serif; font-size: small; font-variant-ligatures: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="font-family: Verdana;" class=""> </span></p><div style="margin: 0.1pt 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: verdana, sans-serif; font-size: small; font-variant-ligatures: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);" class=""><span style="font-family: Verdana;" class="">Camilo Mora et al. Global risk of deadly heat. Nature Climate Change. PUBLISHED ONLINE: 19 JUNE 2017</span></div><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0.1pt 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: verdana, sans-serif; font-size: small; font-variant-ligatures: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"><span style="font-family: Verdana;" class=""> </span></p><div style="margin: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: verdana, sans-serif; font-size: small; font-variant-ligatures: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);" class=""><span style="font-family: Verdana; color: black;" class=""> <b class=""> ========+++ Indirect consequence +++++=======</b><br class=""> <br class="">“We used observational data and output from 23 global climate models to show a high probability (>90%) that growing season temperatures in the tropics and subtropics by the end of the 21st century will exceed the most extreme seasonal temperatures recorded from 1900 to 2006. <b class="">In temperate regions, the hottest seasons on record will represent the future norm in many locations.”</b></span></div><div style="margin: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: verdana, sans-serif; font-size: small; font-variant-ligatures: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);" class=""><span style="font-family: Verdana; color: black;" class=""> <br class="">“Coping with the short-run challenge of food price volatility is daunting. But the longer-term challenge of <b class="">avoiding a perpetual food crisis</b> under conditions of global warming is far more serious. “<br class=""> <br class="">David. S. Battisti and Rosamond L. Naylor.<br class="">Historical Warnings of Future Food Insecurity with Unprecedented Seasonal Heat. </span></div><div style="margin: 0px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: verdana, sans-serif; font-size: small; font-variant-ligatures: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);" class=""><span style="font-family: Verdana; color: black;" class="">SCIENCE 9 JANUARY 2009</span></div><div class=""><div style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); letter-spacing: normal; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; word-wrap: break-word; -webkit-nbsp-mode: space; -webkit-line-break: after-white-space;" class=""><div style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); letter-spacing: normal; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; word-wrap: break-word; -webkit-nbsp-mode: space; -webkit-line-break: after-white-space;" class=""><div style="word-wrap: break-word; -webkit-nbsp-mode: space; -webkit-line-break: after-white-space;" class=""><div style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: Verdana; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;"> </div></div></div></div>
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