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<div id="divRplyFwdMsg" dir="ltr"><font face="Calibri, sans-serif" style="font-size:11pt" color="#000000"><b>From:</b> Missoula-Community-News <missoula-community-news-bounces@bigskynet.org> on behalf of Lance Olsen via Missoula-Community-News <missoula-community-news@bigskynet.org><br>
<b>Sent:</b> Wednesday, May 22, 2019 1:06:21 PM<br>
<b>To:</b> missoula-community-news@bigskynet.org<br>
<b>Subject:</b> [MCN] Climate has capacity to reduce human population: Case history from So. America</font>
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<span style="-webkit-font-kerning: none; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); -webkit-text-stroke-color: rgb(0, 0, 0);" class=""><i class="">Scientific Reports</i><b class=""> </b></span><span style="-webkit-font-kerning: none; color: rgb(213, 213, 213); -webkit-text-stroke-color: rgb(213, 213, 213);" class=""> <a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-019-43086-w#article-info" class=""><span style="-webkit-font-kerning: none; color: rgb(0, 102, 153); -webkit-text-stroke-color: rgb(0, 102, 153);" class="">Published: 09
May 2019</span></a></span></div>
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<span style="-webkit-font-kerning: none; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);" class=""><b class="">Widespread population decline in South America correlates with mid-Holocene climate change</b></span></div>
<ul style="list-style-type: none;" class="">
<li style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; color: rgb(0, 102, 153); -webkit-text-stroke-width: initial; -webkit-text-stroke-color: rgb(0, 102, 153);" class="">
<span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); -webkit-text-stroke-color: rgb(34, 34, 34);" class=""><a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-019-43086-w#auth-1" class=""><span style="-webkit-font-kerning: none; -webkit-text-stroke-color: rgb(0, 102, 153);" class="">Philip
Riris</span></a></span><span style="-webkit-font-kerning: none; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); -webkit-text-stroke-color: rgb(34, 34, 34);" class=""> & <a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-019-43086-w#auth-2" class=""><span style="-webkit-font-kerning: none; color: rgb(0, 102, 153); -webkit-text-stroke-color: rgb(0, 102, 153);" class="">Manuel
Arroyo-Kalin</span></a> </span></li></ul>
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<span style="-webkit-font-kerning: none;" class=""></span><br class="">
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<span style="-webkit-font-kerning: none;" class=""><b class=""><font color="#222222" class="">Abstract [ </font><font color="#cc4b14" class=""><span style="caret-color: rgb(204, 75, 20);" class="">OPEN ACCESS</span></font></b></span><span style="color: rgb(98, 98, 98); -webkit-font-kerning: none;" class=""> ]</span></div>
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<span style="text-decoration: underline; -webkit-font-kerning: none;" class=""><a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-019-43086-w" class="">https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-019-43086-w</a></span></div>
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<p style="-webkit-text-stroke-width: initial; margin: 0px 0px 28px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); -webkit-text-stroke-color: rgb(34, 34, 34); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);" class="">
<span style="-webkit-font-kerning: none;" class="">Quantifying the impacts of climate change on prehistoric demography is crucial for understanding the adaptive pathways taken by human populations. Archaeologists across South America have pointed to patterns
of regional abandonment during the Middle Holocene (8200 to 4200</span><span style="font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; font-family: "Lucida Grande"; -webkit-font-kerning: none;" class=""> </span><span style="-webkit-font-kerning: none;" class="">cal
BP) as evidence of sensitivity to shifts in hydroclimate over this period. We develop a unified approach to investigate demography and climate in South America and aim to clarify the extent to which evidence of local anthropic responses can be generalised
to large-scale trends. We achieve this by integrating archaeological radiocarbon data and palaeoclimatic time series to </span><span style="-webkit-font-kerning: none; background-color: rgb(255, 251, 0);" class="">show that population decline occurred </span><span style="-webkit-font-kerning: none;" class="">coeval
with the transition to the initial mid-Holocene across South America. Through the analysis of radiocarbon dates with Monte Carlo methods, we find multiple, sustained phases of </span><span style="-webkit-font-kerning: none; background-color: rgb(255, 251, 0);" class="">downturn
associated to periods of high climatic variability. A likely driver of the duration and severity of demographic turnover is the frequency of exceptional climatic events, rather than the absolute magnitude of change.</span><span style="-webkit-font-kerning: none;" class=""> Unpredictable
levels of tropical precipitation had sustained negative impacts on pre-Columbian populations lasting until at least 6000</span><span style="font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; font-family: "Lucida Grande"; -webkit-font-kerning: none;" class=""> </span><span style="-webkit-font-kerning: none;" class="">cal
BP, after which recovery is evident. Our results support the inference that a demographic regime shift in the second half of the Middle Holocene were coeval with cultural practices surrounding Neotropical plant management and early cultivation, possibly acting
as buffers when the wild resource base was in flux.</span></p>
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“The death knell for the grizzly in the Southwest was tolled not by a church bell but by a train whistle.”<br class="">
<br class="">
“Changing economic conditions, new homesteading laws, and cheap rail travel resulted in an ever-increasing </div>
<div style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: Verdana; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;">
influx of settlers, who eventually penetrated to the remotest corners of the region.”<br class="">
<br class="">
David E. Brown. The grizzly in the southwest. University of Oklahoma Press. 1985. p. 97<br class="">
<br class="">
*************************************<br class="">
“We found that brown bear populations in Europe lost connectivity since Neolithic times, when farming communities </div>
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expanded ... In central Italy, this resulted in a 40-fold population decline.”<br class="">
<br class="">
Andrea Benazzo et al. Survival and divergence in a small group: The extraordinary genomic history of the endangered </div>
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Apennine brown bear stragglers. PNAS Early Edition Published online before print October 24 2017</div>
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<a href="http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2017/10/23/1707279114.abstract" class="">http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2017/10/23/1707279114.abstract</a></div>
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