<html><head><meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=utf-8"></head><body style="word-wrap: break-word; -webkit-nbsp-mode: space; line-break: after-white-space;" class=""><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);" class=""><span style="font-kerning: none" class="">Carbon Brief April 10, 2019</span></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); min-height: 17px;" class=""><b class="">Analysis: Why children must emit eight times less CO2 than their grandparents</b></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; color: rgb(0, 0, 255); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);" class=""><span style="font-kerning: none" class=""><a href="https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-why-children-must-emit-eight-times-less-co2-than-their-grandparents" class="">https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-why-children-must-emit-eight-times-less-co2-than-their-grandparents</a></span></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; color: rgb(0, 0, 255); min-height: 17px;" class=""><span style="font-kerning: none" class=""></span><br class=""></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal;" class=""><span style="font-kerning: none; background-color: #ffffff" class=""><b class="">Opening paragraphs</b></span></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; color: rgb(255, 255, 255); min-height: 17px;" class=""><span style="font-kerning: none" class=""></span><br class=""></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; color: rgb(29, 29, 29); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);" class=""><span style="font-kerning: none" class="">Global emissions of CO2 need to decline precipitously over the next few decades, if the world is to meet the Paris Agreement goals of limiting global warming to “well below 2C” and, ideally, below 1.5C.</span></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; color: rgb(29, 29, 29); min-height: 17px;" class=""><span style="font-kerning: none" class=""></span><br class=""></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; color: rgb(29, 29, 29);" class=""><span style="font-kerning: none; background-color: #ffffff" class="">If these goals are to be met,</span><span style="font-kerning: none; background-color: #ffff0a" class=""> young people would have to live the greater part of their lives without contributing significantly to global emissions. Essentially, they would have fewer “allowable” CO2 emissions during their lifetime, compared with older generations.</span></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; color: rgb(29, 29, 29); min-height: 17px;" class=""><span style="font-kerning: none" class=""></span><br class=""></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; color: rgb(29, 29, 29); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);" class=""><span style="font-kerning: none" class="">To determine just how much smaller their personal CO2 limits would be, Carbon Brief has combined historical data on emissions and population with projections for the future. In a world where warming is limited to 1.5C, </span><span style="font-kerning: none; background-color: #ffff0a" class="">the average person born today can emit only an eighth of the lifetime emissions of someone born in 1950.</span></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; color: rgb(29, 29, 29); min-height: 17px;" class=""><span style="font-kerning: none" class=""></span><br class=""></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; color: rgb(29, 29, 29); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);" class=""><span style="font-kerning: none" class="">The interactive tool, below, shows the size of each person’s “carbon budget” during their lifetime – based on when and where they were born.It looks at two different scenarios: one where the world limits warming to well below 2C above pre-industrial levels by 2100; and one were warming is limited to 1.5C.</span></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; color: rgb(29, 29, 29); min-height: 17px;" class=""><span style="font-kerning: none" class=""></span><br class=""></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; color: rgb(29, 29, 29); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);" class=""><span style="font-kerning: none" class="">It also considers two different ways of sharing future allowable emissions: one where each country tracks “<a href="https://www.carbonbrief.org/qa-how-integrated-assessment-models-are-used-to-study-climate-change" class=""><span style="-webkit-font-kerning: none; color: rgb(32, 101, 182);" class="">optimal</span></a>” pathways taken from models; and another, focused on equality, where each person can use the same portion of future emissions, no matter where they live.</span></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; color: rgb(29, 29, 29); min-height: 17px;" class=""><span style="font-kerning: none" class=""></span><br class=""></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; color: rgb(29, 29, 29); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 10);" class=""><span style="font-kerning: none" class="">In all cases, younger generations will have to make do with substantially smaller lifetime carbon budgets than older generations, if the Paris limits are to be respected. This is because <b class="">most of the</b> <a href="https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-how-much-carbon-budget-is-left-to-limit-global-warming-to-1-5c" class=""><span style="-webkit-font-kerning: none; color: rgb(32, 101, 182);" class="">allowable emissions</span></a> <b class="">have already been used up,</b> </span><span style="font-kerning: none; background-color: #ffffff" class="">meaning young people will not have the luxury of unmitigated emissions enjoyed by older generations.</span></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; color: rgb(29, 29, 29); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); min-height: 17px;" class=""><span style="font-kerning: none" class=""></span><br class=""></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; color: rgb(0, 0, 255);" class=""><span style="font-kerning: none; background-color: #ffffff" class=""><a href="https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-why-children-must-emit-eight-times-less-co2-than-their-grandparents" class="">https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-why-children-must-emit-eight-times-less-co2-than-their-grandparents</a></span></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; color: rgb(251, 2, 7); min-height: 17px;" class=""><span style="font-kerning: none" class=""></span><br class=""></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; color: rgb(251, 2, 7);" class=""><span style="font-kerning: none" class="">————————————————————</span></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; min-height: 17px;" class=""><span style="font-kerning: none" class=""></span><br class=""></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal;" class=""><span style="font-kerning: none" class=""><b class="">How a 'Right-Sized' 1950s Home Became a 'Tight Fit' in 2012</b></span></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal;" class=""><span style="text-decoration: underline ; font-kerning: none; color: #094fd1" class=""><a href="https://patch.com/" class="">https://patch.com</a></span><span style="font-kerning: none" class=""> › pennsylvania › hellertown › bp--ho...</span></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; min-height: 17px;" class=""><span style="font-kerning: none" class=""></span><br class=""></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal;" class=""><span style="font-kerning: none" class="">In the 1950s, the size of the typical new home </span><span style="font-kerning: none; background-color: #ffff0a" class="">increased </span><span style="font-kerning: none" class="">to 950 square feet, and "by the 60's 1,100 square feet was typical, and by the 70's, …</span></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; min-height: 17px;" class=""><span style="font-kerning: none" class=""></span><br class=""></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal;" class=""><span style="font-kerning: none" class="">————————————</span></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; min-height: 17px;" class=""><span style="font-kerning: none" class=""></span><br class=""></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal;" class=""><span style="font-kerning: none" class=""><b class="">Have American Homes Changed Much Over the Years?</b> </span></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; color: rgb(9, 79, 209);" class=""><span style="text-decoration: underline ; font-kerning: none" class=""><a href="https://compasscaliforniablog.com/" class="">https://compasscaliforniablog.com</a></span><span style="font-kerning: none; color: #000000" class=""> › have-american-home...</span></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; min-height: 17px;" class=""><span style="font-kerning: none" class=""></span><br class=""></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal;" class=""><span style="font-kerning: none" class="">1960s: The average new-home size</span><span style="font-kerning: none; background-color: #ffff0a" class=""> grew </span><span style="font-kerning: none" class="">to 1,200 square feet, giving its 3.33 residents a spacious 360 square feet of room apiece. The bedroom-bathroom ratio flipped from the previous decade, with 2.5 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms.</span></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; min-height: 17px;" class=""><span style="font-kerning: none" class=""></span><br class=""></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal;" class=""><span style="font-kerning: none" class="">———————————————</span></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; min-height: 17px;" class=""><span style="font-kerning: none" class=""></span><br class=""></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal;" class=""><span style="font-kerning: none" class=""><b class="">This Was Considered a "Huge House" 50 Years Ago</b></span></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal;" class=""><span style="text-decoration: underline ; font-kerning: none; color: #094fd1" class=""><a href="https://bestlifeonline.com/" class="">https://bestlifeonline.com</a></span><span style="font-kerning: none" class=""> › huge-houses-50-years-ago</span></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; min-height: 17px;" class=""><span style="font-kerning: none" class=""></span><br class=""></div><div style="margin: 0px; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal;" class=""><span style="font-kerning: none" class="">In 2018, the average new construction single-family home spanned more than 2,600 square feet and sold for nearly $378,000. However, in the 1960s ...</span></div><div class=""><span style="font-kerning: none" class=""><br class=""></span></div></body></html>