[MCN] Drought and climate: Who saw it coming, and when?

Lance Olsen lance at wildrockies.org
Sat Jul 25 23:01:31 EDT 2015


"Our results indicate that future reductions in 
Arctic sea ice cover could significantly reduce 
available water in the American west...."

Jacob O. Sewall and Lisa Cirbus Sloan. 
Disappearing Arctic sea ice reduces available 
water in the American west
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS VOL. 31, 2004

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" Š the proportion of the land surface in extreme 
drought is predicted to increase from 1% for the 
present day to 30% by the end of the twenty-first 
century." 

Eleanor J. Burke et al. "Modeling the Recent 
Evolution of Global Drought and Projections for 
the Twenty-First Century with the Hadley Centre 
Climate Model." JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY 
OCTOBER 2006

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"Linkages between northern high-latitude climate 
and precipitation in the Sierra Nevada suggested 
here could indicate that, under conditions of 
continued global warming, this drought-prone 
region may experience a reduction in 
Pacific-sourced moisture."

Jessica L. Oster et al. Late Pleistocene 
California droughts during deglaciation and 
Arctic warming. Earth and Planetary Science 
Letters (2009)
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