[MCN] A bright future for (range and forest) fires

[Lance Olsen]

Quaternary International <http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/10406182>. Available online 10 July 2017
In Press, Corrected Proof <http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/aip/10406182> 

A 1,500-year synthesis of wildfire activity stratified by elevation from the U.S. Rocky Mountains
Vachel A. Carter <http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1040618216315919#>a <http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1040618216315919#aff1>, d <http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1040618216315919#aff4>,, Mitchell J. Power <http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1040618216315919#>b <http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1040618216315919#aff2>, Zachary J. Lundeen <http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1040618216315919#>c <http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1040618216315919#aff3>, Jesse L. Morris <http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1040618216315919#>d <http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1040618216315919#aff4>, Kenneth L. Petersen <http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1040618216315919#>d <http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1040618216315919#aff4>, Andrea Brunelle <http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1040618216315919#>d <http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1040618216315919#aff4>, R. Scott Anderson <http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1040618216315919#>e <http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1040618216315919#aff5>, Jacqueline J. Shinker <http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1040618216315919#>f <http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1040618216315919#aff6>, Lovina Turney <http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1040618216315919#>g <http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1040618216315919#aff7>, Rebecca Koll <http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1040618216315919#>h <http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1040618216315919#aff8>,

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quaint.2017.06.051 <https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quaint.2017.06.051>

Abstract <https://s100.copyright.com/AppDispatchServlet?publisherName=ELS&contentID=S1040618216315919&orderBeanReset=true>

A key task in fire-climate research in the western United States is to characterize potential future fire-climate linkages across different elevational gradients. Using thirty-seven sedimentary charcoal records, here we present a 1500-year synthesis of wildfire activity across different elevational gradients to characterize fire-climate linkages. From our results, we have identified three periods of elevated fire occurrence centered on the 20th century, 900 cal yr BP, and 1350 cal yr BP. During the 20th century, fire activity has occurred primarily in the northern Rocky Mountains, with mid-elevations experiencing the greatest increase in wildfire activity. While wildfires occurred primarily in the SRM region ∼900 cal yr BP, the greatest increase in high-elevations occurred in the NRM at this time. Finally, synchronous wildfires occurred in both northern and southern Rocky Mountain mid-elevations ∼1350 cal yr BP, suggesting a potential analog for future wildfire conditions in response to warmer temperatures and more protracted droughts. We conclude that wildfire activity increased in most elevations during periods of protracted summer drought, warmer-than-average temperatures, and based on modern climate analogs, reduced atmospheric humidity.
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
Despite recognizing the downsides of debt, the lure of spending remains strong.  After covering off on necessities, Americans said 40% 
of their monthly income goes toward discretionary spending on entertainment, leisure travel, hobbies, etc. In fact, when asked what 
financial pitfalls they are prone to, one quarter of Americans flagged “excessive/frivolous” spending.

https://www.northwesternmutual.com/about-us/studies/planning-and-progress-study-2017 <https://www.northwesternmutual.com/about-us/studies/planning-and-progress-study-2017>


============================================
“By the end of the 21st century, forest ecosystems in the United States 
will differ from those of today as a result of changing climate.”

Effects of climatic variability and change on forest ecosystems: 
a comprehensive science synthesis for the U.S. General Technical 
Report PNW-GTR-870. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, 
Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 265 p. 
Vose, James M.; Peterson, David L.; Patel-Weynand, Toral. 2012. 

http://treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/42610

-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: <http://bigskynet.org/pipermail/missoula-community-news_bigskynet.org/attachments/20170804/550c6d54/attachment-0002.html>