[MCN] How to know when the next big fire is imminent: hot, dry, windy

[Lance Olsen]

Hot-Dry-Windy Index (HDW) <https://www.hdwindex.org/>
https://www.hdwindex.org/ <https://www.hdwindex.org/>
The Hot-Dry-Windy Index (HDW) ...... This site is the home for real-time plotting of the Hot-Dry-Windy Index (HDW) using the GEFS ensemble. More information .
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The hot-dry-windy index: A new fire weather index <https://www.nrs.fs.fed.us/pubs/56562>
https://www.nrs.fs.fed.us/pubs/56562 <https://www.nrs.fs.fed.us/pubs/56562>
Aug 8, 2018 - We define a new fire weather index called the Hot-Dry-Windy Index (HDW). HDW uses the basic science of how the atmosphere can affect a ...

Hot-Dry-Windy Index - Northern Research Station - USDA Forest Service <https://www.nrs.fs.fed.us/disturbance/fire/hdw/>
https://www.nrs.fs.fed.us/disturbance/fire/hdw/ <https://www.nrs.fs.fed.us/disturbance/fire/hdw/>
Feb 28, 2019 - In order to simplify the problem, we have defined a new fire weather index called the Hot-Dry-Windy Index (HDW) that can be used to assess ...

[PDF]
The Hot-Dry-Windy Index - Southern Research Station - USDA <https://www.srs.fs.usda.gov/pubs/ja/2018/ja_2018_goodrick_001.pdf>
https://www.srs.fs.usda.gov/pubs/ja/2018/ja_2018_goodrick_001.pdf <https://www.srs.fs.usda.gov/pubs/ja/2018/ja_2018_goodrick_001.pdf>
AF Srock - ‎2018 - ‎Cited by 2 <https://scholar.google.com/scholar?rlz=1C5CHFA_enUS737US737&um=1&ie=UTF-8&lr&cites=12763361008682718259> - ‎Related articles <https://scholar.google.com/scholar?rlz=1C5CHFA_enUS737US737&um=1&ie=UTF-8&lr&q=related:M9Sa1jaRILG-IM:scholar.google.com/>
Jul 19, 2018 - We define a new fire weather index called the Hot-Dry-Windy Index (HDW). ... HDW is defined and then compared with the Haines Index (HI) for four historical fires. The Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR) is used to provide the meteorological data for calculating the indices.

Comparing the Haines Index with the Hot-Dry-Windy Index - Wildfire ... <https://wildfiretoday.com/2019/02/20/comparing-the-haines-index-with-the-hot-dry-windy-index/>
https://wildfiretoday.com/.../comparing-the-haines-index-with-the-hot-dry-windy-inde... <https://wildfiretoday.com/2019/02/20/comparing-the-haines-index-with-the-hot-dry-windy-index/>
Feb 20, 2019 - In a comment on the earlier post about the Hot-Dry-Windy Index (HDW), Brian Potter, a research meteorologist with the U.S. Forest Service, ..
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Development and application of a hot-dry-windy index (HDW ... <https://www.frames.gov/catalog/56291>
https://www.frames.gov/catalog/56291 <https://www.frames.gov/catalog/56291>
Aug 7, 2018 - In this paper, we describe and analyze a climatology of the Hot-Dry-Windy Index (HDW), with the goal of providing fire-weather forecasters with ...

(PDF) Development and Application of a Hot-Dry-Windy Index (HDW ... <https://www.researchgate.net/publication/326555545_Development_and_Application_of_a_Hot-Dry-Windy_Index_HDW_Climatology>
https://www.researchgate.net/.../326555545_Development_and_Application_of_a_Hot-... <https://www.researchgate.net/publication/326555545_Development_and_Application_of_a_Hot-Dry-Windy_Index_HDW_Climatology>
Jul 20, 2018 - In this paper, we describe and analyze a climatology of the Hot-Dry-Windy Index (HDW), with the goal of providing fire-weather forecasters with ...

The Hot-Dry-Windy Index (HDW) | Northwest Fire Science Consortium <http://nwfirescience.org/tools/hot-dry-windy-index-hdw>
nwfirescience.org/tools/hot-dry-windy-index-hdw <http://nwfirescience.org/tools/hot-dry-windy-index-hdw>
Oct 5, 2018 - A new fire-weather prediction tool based on the key atmospheric variables that affect wildland fire: temperature, moisture, and wind.
[PDF]

Development and Application of a Hot-Dry-Windy Index (HDW ... - MDPI <https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/9/7/285/pdf>
https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/9/7/285/pdf <https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/9/7/285/pdf>

by J McDonald - ‎2018 - ‎Cited by 1 <https://scholar.google.com/scholar?rlz=1C5CHFA_enUS737US737&um=1&ie=UTF-8&lr&cites=304288556776611947> - ‎Related articles <https://scholar.google.com/scholar?rlz=1C5CHFA_enUS737US737&um=1&ie=UTF-8&lr&q=related:a-Dih9QMOQRlbM:scholar.google.com/>
Jul 20, 2018 - Abstract: In this paper, we describe and analyze a climatology of the Hot-Dry-Windy Index (HDW), with the goal of providing fire-weather ...

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A core question: What is “resilience”?

2018 — “Resilience is a popular narrative for conservation and provides an opportunity to communicate optimism that ecosystems can recover and rebound from disturbances.” (Emily S. Darling and Isabelle M. Côté, Science, March 2, 2018). 

2014 — “Emerging from a wide range of disciplines, resilience in policy-making has often been based on the ability of systems to bounce back to normality, drawing on engineering concepts. This implies the return of the functions of an individual, household, community or ecosystem to previous conditions, with as little damage and disruption as possible following shocks and stresses”  (Tanner et al, Nature Climate Change,  December 18, 2014). 

1938 — Resilience. 1- The act or power of springing back to a former position or shape. 2. The quantity of work given back by a body that is compressed to a certain limit and then allowed to recover itself, as a spring under pressure suddenly relaxed.”  (Funk & Wagnall’s New Standard Dictionary of the English Language, vol.2, M-Z 1938)




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