[MCN] Where there's fire, there's smoke. There will be more of both, more frequently

[Lance Olsen]

Halofsky et al. Fire Ecology (2020) 16:4 

https://doi.org/10.1186/s42408-019-0062-8 <https://doi.org/10.1186/s42408-019-0062-8>
Changing wildfire, changing forests: the effects of climate change on fire regimes and vegetation in the Pacific Northwest, USA

Jessica E. Halofsky1* , David L. Peterson2 and Brian J. Harvey2

Excerpts from the abstract  

Large and severe fires in the Pacific Northwest [ Oregon, Washington, Idaho and western Montana ] are associated with warm and dry conditions, and such conditions will likely occur with increasing frequency in a warming climate.  

Reburns are also likely to occur more frequently with warming and drought, with potential effects on tree regeneration and species composition. Hotter, drier sites may be particularly at risk for regeneration failures.

Resource managers will likely be unable to affect the total area burned by fire, as this trend is driven strongly by climate.

When and where post-fire planting is an option, planting different genetic stock than has been used in the past may increase seedling survival. 

In the driest topographic locations, managers may need to consider where they will try to forestall change and where they will allow conversions to vegetation other than what is currently dominant.

============== Carbon pricing can help reduce frequency, intensity of fire and smoke ==============

Financial Times - March 28, 2018
Special Report <https://www.ft.com/reports>

How to make a carbon pricing system work
Compensation for those who lose out and sanctions on non-compliance are needed
MARTIN WOLF <https://www.ft.com/martin-wolf>

<<https://www.ft.com/content/2d9490f2-1291-11e8-a765-993b2440bd73 <https://www.ft.com/content/2d9490f2-1291-11e8-a765-993b2440bd73>>>

1st 2 sentences

“Carbon pricing is a good idea whose time has not yet come. But it has to do so.”

Closing paragraph

“Until now, therefore, carbon pricing remains a sleeping giant. Yet needed progress will not be achieved if it does not awake. The difficulties in meeting agreed objectives in our fractured world are enormous. The chances are high that the effort will fail. If so, our goose will be cooked.”



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