[MCN] Climate and related stuff

[Lance Olsen]

How climate change inaction can worsen Afghanistan’s crisis <https://news.google.com/articles/CAIiEEOb2kkyGnB0Z4LNDJ3l5WcqGAgEKg8IACoHCAowlOzSATCaiDUwtaKsBQ?hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US%3Aen>
Vox.com <https://news.google.com/publications/CAAqBwgKMJTs0gEwmog1?hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US%3Aen>

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Canadian insurance industry seeks to limit fossil fuel exposure amid growing climate threat <https://news.google.com/articles/CBMidmh0dHBzOi8vd3d3LnRoZWdsb2JlYW5kbWFpbC5jb20vYnVzaW5lc3MvYXJ0aWNsZS1jYW5hZGlhbi1pbnN1cmFuY2UtaW5kdXN0cnktc2Vla3MtdG8tbGltaXQtZm9zc2lsLWZ1ZWwtZXhwb3N1cmUtYW1pZC_SAQA?hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US%3Aen>
The Globe and Mail
Aug 23

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A close look at the clean energy legislation offered by House Democrats <https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJxFksuumzAQhp8m7EC-EC4LFjlJOSI9ELWKTqJukLEH4gQwBQMhT18nWVTybb6Z0Uj-f840VKpfok4N2noeuV46MKHgzJBxgD6XInIxDnzftcxL4GAdWHLIyx6gYbKOdD-C1Y1FLTnTUrXPBhxSRFzrEhHw3ZCtUYAAhT4AIoEXElzywkW0oPAeykYhoeUQwQT9olqw6uiidTes6GZFYrPmeXYmVevBmXVp4s5sZvNaDWDXSt1spm19AUOAtTa00FfLisZa3aBd0R0se8zJ93Im9S25KpQef7jZg6Ov7X4uaIb-8-Se7TbrbDtLdoqRYffsmt6zh-GPDTH1HaepPMj9LE6JTo-3R7pLUCJnyem3NPWSf4YPscXLn1N8FZ_1VMh96MS_6L65_KRf50o3wZgGaDqKa_nR80Npz3_1x-HMC7adLr8TS0YEEYxCvMYeQtRzsOOGBRBUIFH6lHECgpRUGEBDz8OIw8pFTUWcYSwGzfjN4aqx-qhmLVf10Jps9ZTqhY1SubmbsZV6yaFlRQ3iLaJ---Ala149P9H4Q-RMR9ij2CfYR56LvLdmL1sQ7KLQtcxcoUxXGwk2SdGrAno9_AM1Ssr8>

David Roberts <https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJwtkEmOxCAMRU9T7CoyQ6YFi9r0NSIGJ4WaQASkoty-qaQly8O3LOs_owouMZ1yi7mQb5rKuWEdrVFV2TOmyVkpKB36XpDaWTq0A3F5mhPiqpyXJe1Itl17Z1RxMXwP6MiBCfKWAsAoTWtR1nCEAfXQi3HmmjNLhb2fqt06DAYlfjCdMSDx8l3Klh_89WA_NY7jaD7Rl9wcZa7zhnHzWBsGtGW85U-rPs4-U9SYSiZOMmAURtrSDoB3DW3EqJGBBjv3XBmGls3cVoGPXUfB4EPAurAm7zoXZX4bE1eSpFfBRJ9D3S5fu5dc3U61rntw5ZwwKO3R3iDKzfJCMy0YMFXGdlJF0o7TntEeOgHd7ftCyyqdUZD618Z6FeTl5N_IH8zBivY>
Sept
15



Closing paragraphs

Now let’s see how much survives the Senate
Like I said, there will be more to talk about as the bill is negotiated. For now, I’ll leave you with three observations.

First, is this enough? Ha ha, no. No climate policy is ever enough. This is far short of the $10 trillion that would be needed <https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJwlkMmOhSAQRb_msdMwOS1Y9KZ_wzCUShrBAPri33e9Z0IY7q3iwrG6wpryrY5UKvlMc70PwKOzGpWzQJ69U5KxcRgkwZ1jYzcSX-YlA-zaB1XzCeQ4TfBWV5_ip4FNgnJJNmXkwilQYzqYRumEWSReMVAnxGgW0z2h-nQeogUFF-Q7RSBBbbUe5SV-XvwXx_v9bssZsy-wpwt2iLVNeUWnboA_aNLS2E3HFVBitKnZh4CPabA4NyjcoHNBj3jFKWd0Yh3rKRV9y1o5GeDUULcMQlsOji_CoSCmvmfUwkvSfeWYb0rV9q-1aSdZBR1tCiWiu35AfGXkMOO6n9HXe4aoTQD3IKoP5S-0eYUIGem7WVfFesEGjlR6SfuHyBc6Z5JOkmCuS9gVldOXdzkZyLX8A31IlX8> for a true Green New Deal. It’s far short of the $6 trillion bill Sen. Bernie Sanders first proposed <https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJwlkcuOwyAMRb-m7BoBIdAsWMxmfiPi4aRoCEQ8WuXvx2kldG0uMjYHZxpsuZz6yLWRS5Z2HoBb7ww6vUJZgteCsYdSgmDm2WN6kFCXtQDsJkTdSgdydBuDMy3kdBWweaRckKcGN7GVOmUnQb1l0nsh6KSEkcCtmN23qek-QHKg4QXlzAlI1M_Wjnobf278F9f7_R7S2cIOdXB5R4dTzjBQicIUSq8oR46hBXelHvbsimn1HtJa8Dmlu9YL3D2YeHc5bQVqHZ5tjyTo6zo6s4lJSkc5sEHMFji11K9qNI6D5-vo0RhnKRl1cBN03_hQu63NuL9rKlJ0NMnlWBOebhedj41wFox7T6GdCyRjI_gvt_ZF_yG5bJAABwa_mKaZHJniTFEpqPxi-vwEZ4LOgmBfn7EqaW9ewZdsobT6D8YRm8Q>, back in June. It is, from a climate perspective, a ludicrously low level of investment and mobilization.

Nonetheless, this is what the lamentably small group of climate-focused legislators were able to squeeze from a chaotic process. This is a reflection of the relative weight climate carries in the House.

Second, this is the high-water mark, so enjoy it while it lasts. Sens. Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ) are going to try to hack down the overall level of spending, and Manchin has already signaled his intention <https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJwlUcuO4yAQ_Jpwi0UDg-MDh73sb1g82ja7GCzAk8nfTzuRUD8KmioKbzuupb7MUVpnV5j760Bqg7eEnA3rHINRAI9xVIyqAI-vB4ttXiribmMyvZ7IjtOl6G2PJV8DMEkuFNuMQuUmgYvVDvTCH1xLiVoKCcDd4viH1J4hYvZo8Bvrq2RkyWy9H-0m_9zEX1rP53PwOQ--7NQJLoASHymAonCUFHv0jcp_Be-7zX6L-V7Rl-xjim9hd5_iTi---83mFelszAF_hq3viUVzXcon-ALNudQDDGpyKLjjYRml9QKDWGQgQE5aA_d4U3xfxdBO17r1_y9trJpE3CW1TLvr5c8bJntmyvuZY3_NmK1LGD7O9Y_5by_nFTNWkhhm2w1oCaOAkWvF9ceo918IUHxSjHhDoalsgv2OoRaHtbdfz3CbZA> to go after some of the energy provisions, including the CEPP. I have no idea what will happen in the Senate — my brain is tired from trying to predict — but given that Manchin is involved, it’s likely to be unpleasant.

Third, I know this isn’t helpful right now, but damn is it stupid for a wealthy democracy to make policy the way we do. Because every policy of any size has to be crammed through the budget reconciliation process, it all ends up in the tax code, a complicated skein of credits and loopholes that encourages rent-seeking and keep armies of lawyers employed.

This is not how any energy wonk, including the energy wonks on Democratic congressional staffs, would write policy if offered a blank sheet of paper. It is kludge upon kludge, a Rube Goldberg mechanism reverse-engineered to conform to anachronistic budget rules administered by a parliamentarian-cum-shaman.

But it is what’s possible now. American democracy is staggering, barely upright, and people of good will are scrambling to do the best they can under the circumstances. There’s no time left for infighting. Let’s just get this thing over the finish line.

You’re on the free list for Volts <https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJwlkN2OhCAMhZ9muDQtMKIXXOzNvgZBqA5ZBQM4xrdfZkya_pymab7jbKUl5UvvqVT2SaZeO7XRO9uUo1A2wWuJOCglWes8Ds-BhWLmTLTZsOqaD2L7Ma3B2RpS_BzgKIBL9tKWQMwe3aCIHFeeCB2QIJyEsjDD_dQePlB0pOlN-UqR2Kpfte7lIX4e_LfFeZ7dO621dGed28yC5sARRnxiDyD6Djs5TsRhAj8rYR0nz2fhmyDGvkdw9JCwLbwrx1SqdX-dSxvLerXRpbXEtl0-PF-54ZhWtyOGehmKdlrJ36T1NuvLbhaKlJuJ3tiqsReoOCroJfQ32Nc7jhJGydpfn9pV1N6-g89polzLP3nhgaQ>. For the full experience, become a paying subscriber. <https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJw1Ul1vozAQ_DXhEdnmKzzw0DbplajQu17EJfeCjL0kTsCObBNKfv2ZpCfZ1u5Yo9ndWUYtHJSesosy1puf2k4XcCln1CGDAV0LnoUYL5Mk9FzE8TJaesLUrQboqegyqwfwLkPTCUatUHIm4DRAJPSOjklDlLRLAqRJaUQ4QzyCNIqAt03S0ocoHbgAySCDK-hJSfC67GjtxSyCpwV5dWccR_-qOmv80bYuN0NjmBYNLIJXq84gF8EKpg1mpJp2pDvnJ4WK7Tosbwy9v2wu-90v8XFak-K2DoqTu6u9yfsqZC95XGz3t3JVfBU3NpZiFHRX3hxfsLdKvG_XUXF7msqX3OSyxHuRx3lfqr9_St0EFcol8n9e91-4-hjYVn_um_7YB6P5rWDz41DTVfL5PFYVfXuWsSLLBYkH29dGDZq50ldzG5ay8zfeAxdDP7cyT_YbZEpakNah86yYpZ7ICCIYpTjCMUJB7GM_TBsgqEG8TQLKCHDSBtwBQRrHGDmtEPUH4v_X85nqPZ11VDLVGel-D7PiHXZWOs2-H6SwUw2SNh3wh8v2sSj36uoDSNBugXhNbYbjACcEJygOUfww9b43BIcoDT2ny5VjyYzTq-BaNaCt-QdtI9hW>

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Rising temperatures reshape when and how much people get outdoors on public lands <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/928462>
S.J. & JESSIE E. QUINNEY COLLEGE OF NATURAL RESOURCES, UTAH STATE UNIVERSITY <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/928462>
PEER-REVIEWED PUBLICATION <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/928462>
 <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/928462>
Patterns of seasonal recreation will likely shift with the changing climate, according to research from the Institute of Outdoor Recreation and Tourism at Utah State University. Outdoor recreation in warmer seasons is expected to decrease by 18 percent over the next 30 years. Winter outdoor recreation on public lands is expected to increase 12 percent by mid-century, but may look different. Once dominant sports like downhill skiing will likely be replaced by forms of recreation less dependent on perfect winter conditions—less skiing and more winter mountain biking. <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/928462>
JOURNAL <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/928462>
Global Environmental Change’ <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/928462>
 <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/928462>
https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/928462 <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/928462>

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The Megadrought Is Forcing Ranchers to Slaughter Far More Animals <https://news.google.com/articles/CAIiEFordWTIr1RbaKlnjbbxeVwqFQgEKg0IACoGCAowuLUIMNFnMInmAg?hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US%3Aen>
Slate <https://news.google.com/publications/CAAqBggKMLi1CDDRZw?hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US%3Aen>

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North American Drought Map

https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/temp-and-precip/drought/nadm/maps <https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/temp-and-precip/drought/nadm/maps>

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Why climate change is still the greatest threat to human health 

Polluted air and steadily rising temperatures are linked to health effects ranging from increased heart attacks and strokes to the spread of infectious diseases and psychological trauma.

https://www.nationalgeographic.com/science/article/why-climate-change-is-still-the-greatest-threat-to-human-health? <https://www.nationalgeographic.com/science/article/why-climate-change-is-still-the-greatest-threat-to-human-health?>

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“Booms have consequences.”

James Grant. Money of the Mind : Borrowing and Lending in America from the Civil War to Michael Milken. Farrar Straus Giroux. 1992.
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“The growth in CO2 emissions closely follows the growth in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) corrected for improvements in energy efficiency.”

P. Friedlingstein, et al. “Update on CO2 emissions.” 
Nature Geoscience. Published online: 21 November 2010
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In a July, 2001 editorial, The Economist said that “It is no coincidence that the deepest and most protracted recessions in recent decades have taken hold in countries that experienced booms ...”  
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“Changes in world GDP (WGDP) have a significant effect on CO2 concentrations, so that years of above-trend WGDP are years of greater rise of CO2 concentrations.”

Granados et al. Climate change and the world economy: short-run determinants of atmospheric CO2. Environmental science & policy 21 (2012) 50–62



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