[MCN] Assorted climate stuff

Sat Sep 25 13:51:20 EDT 2021

Excerpts from news analysis: “ Compared to the previous 12 months, the number of households that moved into areas with a recent history of wildfire climbed 21% between March 2020 to February 2021.”

“Many newcomers aren’t familiar with the ignition risks, said Alicia Ralston, a real estate agent in Ada County, where home prices have climbed 53% since March 2020.”

“ … people sometimes assume that because an area has already burned, it won’t burn again for a long time.

But that may not always be the case. Eight months after Imrie and her family moved into their new home in Paradise, the Dixie Fire ignited — starting in nearly the same place as the Camp Fire had <https://www.npr.org/2021/08/05/1025127666/paradise-dixie-fire-camp-fire-wildfire-paradise-california>.”

“It’s hard, because climate change is real and our environment is changing.”

Bloomberg CityLab  <https://www.bloomberg.com/citylab>+Green <https://www.bloomberg.com/green> September 24, 2021
More Americans Are Moving Into Fire-Risky Areas
https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2021-moves-into-fire-zones/? <https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2021-moves-into-fire-zones/?>

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Excerpts from news report : This summer, the Twofer-Pillikin forest health project, south of Lake Tahoe, was finally ready to go. 
A week later, the Caldor Fire erupted and, as Keir put it, “a whole lot of time and money went up in smoke.”
Some 150 miles to the north, Tom Esgate, operations manager for the Lassen Fire Safe Council, was also watching in dismay as fire swept through one planned project area after another. 
Twenty miles to the west, the Dixie Fire was burning up the plans of the South Lassen Watershed Group, a landscape management collaborative — making irrelevant tens of millions of dollars worth of project planning and prep work, said Jonathan Kusel, executive director of the nonprofit Sierra Institute.
“It is at best demoralizing to see these projects thwarted by precisely the thing they were meant to prevent,” Kusel said.’’

Alternatively, and maybe not entirely flippantly, wildfire itself is doing the job?

https://grist.org/wildfires/outpaced-wildfire-control-projects-are-burning-up-before-they-can-even-start/ <https://grist.org/wildfires/outpaced-wildfire-control-projects-are-burning-up-before-they-can-even-start/>

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Forest Ecology and Management <https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/03781127> Volume 500 <https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/03781127/500/supp/C>, 15 November 2021, 119652
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2021.119652 <https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2021.119652>

Logging Amazon forest increased the severity and spread of fires during the 2015–2016 El Niño

Paulo Eduardo <https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378112721007428#!> et al

Highlights

•Fire severity classes were created to assess the effects of selective logging on the forest.
•The severity of the fire increased in areas of logging.
•The most severe fire class was 85.9% higher in selective logging areas than outside.

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US Drought Monitor
Map released: September 23, 2021
Data valid: September 21, 2021

https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/

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20-Sep-2021 <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/928897>
 <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/928897>
After the flood disaster in western Germany: what science must find answers to <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/928897>
 <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/928897>
On 14 July 2021, between 60 and 180 mm of rain fell in the Eifel region in just 22 hours - an amount that would otherwise have fallen in several months … The events were far more destructive than existing models had predicted. <https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/928897>

https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/928897

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Physical climate risk to major US banks over $250 billion annually: Ceres <https://news.google.com/articles/CBMiZGh0dHBzOi8vd3d3LmFydGVtaXMuYm0vbmV3cy9waHlzaWNhbC1jbGltYXRlLXJpc2stdG8tbWFqb3ItdXMtYmFua3Mtb3Zlci0yNTAtYmlsbGlvbi1hbm51YWxseS1jZXJlcy_SAQA?hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US%3Aen>
Artemis.bm

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EOS september 24, 2021

Winter’s Melting Point
Around the world, the seasonal snowpack is changing. 
By Heather Goss <https://eos.org/author/h-goss>  

https://eos.org/agu-news/winters-melting-point

Excerpts  

“…snowpack has decreased dramatically in the past several decades while the regional population has grown,” said Enderlin. 

“… yet little action has been done to reduce the greenhouse gas emissions that are driving changes in snowpack and the timing of its melt.”

“ … Jeremy Jones, who founded Protect Our Winters, a nonprofit organization that recently led a campaign to oust the head of the International Ski Federation after he went on record as a climate change denier.”

—Heather Goss (@heathermg <https://twitter.com/heathermg>), Editor in Chief

Citation: Goss, H. (2021), Winter’s melting point, Eos, 102, https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EO163636 <https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EO163636>. Published on 24 September 2021.
Text © 2021. AGU. CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 <https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/us/>

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Biological Conservation <https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/00063207>  Volume 261 <https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/00063207/261/supp/C>, September 2021, 109285
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2021.109285 <https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2021.109285>

Social identity, values, and trust in government: How stakeholder group, ideology, and wildlife value orientations relate to trust in a state agency for wildlife management

Susan A.Schroeder <https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0006320721003372#!> et al

Closing sentence of the abstract

Agencies face the challenge of managing common-pool, public-trust resources for stakeholders who hold different values and ideologies, and who are differentially affected by management decisions.

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A new entry titled ‘The definitive CO2/CH4 comparison post’ has been posted to RealClimate.

You can view it from this link : https://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2021/09/the-definitive-co2-ch4-comparison-post/ <https://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2021/09/the-definitive-co2-ch4-comparison-post/>

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Europe's Energy Crisis Is Driving Up Natural Gas Prices Worldwide <https://news.google.com/articles/CAIiEPlcxjDkdbZIPaKzUrVNb6AqGQgEKhAIACoHCAow3dWZCzCH4LEDMJW_1wY?hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US%3Aen>
OilPrice.com <https://news.google.com/publications/CAAqBwgKMN3VmQswh-CxAw?hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US%3Aen>
16 hours ago

Europe's energy crisis queers the pitch horribly for COP26 <https://news.google.com/articles/CBMiYmh0dHBzOi8vd3d3LnRlbGVncmFwaC5jby51ay9idXNpbmVzcy8yMDIxLzA5LzE1L2V1cm9wZXMtZW5lcmd5LWNyaXNpcy1xdWVlcnMtcGl0Y2gtaG9ycmlibHktY29wMjYv0gFmaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cudGVsZWdyYXBoLmNvLnVrL2J1c2luZXNzLzIwMjEvMDkvMTUvZXVyb3Blcy1lbmVyZ3ktY3Jpc2lzLXF1ZWVycy1waXRjaC1ob3JyaWJseS1jb3AyNi9hbXAv?hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US%3Aen>
Telegraph.co.uk <http://telegraph.co.uk/>
2 days ago

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'We need to stop': Inside the world's first diplomatic alliance to keep oil and gas in the ground <https://news.google.com/articles/CAIiEHRvMMEDdzA3eTz1z866dd4qGQgEKhAIACoHCAow2Nb3CjDivdcCMOryngY?hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US%3Aen>
CNBC <https://news.google.com/publications/CAAqBwgKMNjW9wow4r3XAg?hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US%3Aen>

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Despite recognizing the downsides of debt, the lure of spending remains strong. …. In fact, when asked what financial pitfalls they are prone to, one quarter of Americans flagged “excessive/frivolous” spending.

https://www.northwesternmutual.com/about-us/studies/planning-and-progress-study-2017 <https://www.northwesternmutual.com/about-us/studies/planning-and-progress-study-2017>

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Excerpt from release : “And before you know it, the benefit of the solar panel is basically canceled out by increased consumption in other areas," said Adua.

https://phys.org/news/2021-09-human-behavior-sabotages-carbon-dioxide-reducing.html <https://phys.org/news/2021-09-human-behavior-sabotages-carbon-dioxide-reducing.html>

Reference
Lazarus Adua et al, Seeking a handle on climate change: Examining the comparative effectiveness of energy efficiency improvement and renewable energy production in the United States, Global Environmental Change (2021). DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102351 <http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102351>
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“We have only one planet and the time has come to transform our present lifestyle and consumption patterns...”

From the Executive Summary, WWF:  China Ecological Footprint: Report 2012 : Consumption, production, and sustainability.
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"People should want more, make more, earn more, spend more -- ever more."

Donella Meadows. Just So Much And No More. Yes magazine June 30, 2001
http://www.yesmagazine.org/issues/reclaiming-the-commons/437
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“Conservationists are unquestionably useful people. And among the many useful services that they have rendered has been that of dramatizing the vast appetite the United States has developed for materials of all kinds.”

“But what of the appetite itself? Surely this is the ultimate source of the problem. If it continues its geometric course, will it not one day have to be restrained? Yet in the literature of the resource problem this is the forbidden question. Over it hangs a nearly total silence.”

John K. Galbraith. “How much should a country consume?”
In Jarrett, Henry (editor), Perspectives on Conservation. John Hopkins Press. 1958
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https://www.oxfam.org/sites/www.oxfam.org/files/file_attachments/mb-extreme-carbon-inequality-021215-en.pdf

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