[MCN] " These results challenge previous assumptions about the long-term stability of the terrestrial carbon sink..."

[Lance Olsen]

 <https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/13652486>
RESEARCH ARTICLE
Respiration-Induced Weakening of Land Sink Contributed to the Largest CO2 Increase in 2024
Chaoya Dang <https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/authored-by/Dang/Chaoya>, Zihua Shi <https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/authored-by/Shi/Zihua>, Josep Peñuelas <https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/authored-by/Pe%C3%B1uelas/Josep>, Philippe Ciais <https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/authored-by/Ciais/Philippe>, Stephen Sitch <https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/authored-by/Sitch/Stephen>, Jingfeng Xiao <https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/authored-by/Xiao/Jingfeng>, Xing Li <https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/authored-by/Li/Xing>, Yanfeng Ding <https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/authored-by/Ding/Yanfeng>, Songhan Wang <https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/authored-by/Wang/Songhan>
First published: 01 April 2026 https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.70831Digital Object Identifier (DOI) <https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.70831>  VIEW METRICS
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 <https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/gcb.70831>PDF <https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/gcb.70831>CITE
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ABSTRACT
In 2024, the global annual growth rate of atmospheric CO2 (CGR) surged to a record of 3.73 ppm year−1—the highest since 1959—exceeding the 1.5°C climate threshold for the first time. However, the drivers behind this unprecedented rise remain poorly understood. Here, we employed a machine-learning approach integrating satellite-derived gross primary productivity (GPP) and climatic data to estimate the 2024 land sink (SLAND) at approximately 2.21 ± 0.25 GtC year−1, which had a striking decline of 1.01 GtC year−1 compared to the 2014–2023 average. The reduction in SLAND, most pronounced in tropical regions, contributed ~50% to the 2024 CGR increase—a larger impact than that of fossil fuel emissions or ocean sinks. Moreover, using partial least squares structural equation modelling, we further explained the underlying mechanism for the reduction of the SLAND in 2024, which was caused by hotter and drier conditions leading to a larger increase in respiration than photosynthesis. Our findings underscore the urgent need to investigate the mechanisms behind the declining carbon sink amid persistent global greening. These results challenge previous assumptions about the long-term stability of the terrestrial carbon sink and highlight society's growing dependence on adaptive strategies to mitigate climate warming.


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"The big challenge is still to deliver emissions reductions at the pace and scale needed, especially in a world where economies are driven by consumption.”

Sonja van Renssen.The inconvenient truth of failed climate policies. Nature Climate Change  MAY 2018

Published online: 27 April 2018 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0155-4 

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“What we are witnessing is a temper tantrum against the mere suggestion that there are limits to what we can consume.” 

Naomi Klein
https://theintercept.com/2019/09/15/trump-straws-plastic/




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