[MCN] Climate policy: "The world's biggest gamble"
lance at wildrockies.org
Tue Sep 6 13:37:58 EDT 2016
Earth's Future - An American Geophysical Union open access journal
Accepted manuscript online: 24 August 2016
Accepted articles have been accepted for
publication but not edited. They may be cited.
The final edited version of record will appear in
The world's biggest gamble
Johan Rockström, Hans Joachim Schellnhuber, Brian
Hoskins, Veerabhadran Ramanathan, Peter
Schlosser, Guy Pierre Brasseur, Owen Gaffney,
Carlos Nobre, Malte Meinsheusen, Joeri Rogelj, et
Abstract [Open Access] [bold added]
The scale of the decarbonisation challenge to
meet the Paris Agreement is underplayed in the
public arena. It will require precipitous
emission reductions and a new carbon sink on the
scale of the ocean sink within 40 years. Even
then, the world is extremely likely to overshoot.
A catastrophic failure of policy, for example
waiting another decade for transformative policy
and full commitments to fossil-free economies,
will have irreversible and deleterious
repercussions for humanity's remaining time on
Earth. Only a global zero carbon roadmap will put
the world on a course to phase-out greenhouse gas
emissions and create the essential carbon sinks
for Earth-system stability, without which, world
prosperity is not possible.
"The biosphere -- this thin film of air and water
and soil and life no deeper than ten miles, or
one four-hundredth of the earth's radius -- is
now the setting of the uncertain history of man."
"Man must learn to see himself in his true place
and proportion in the biosphere."
The Editors, Scientific American. Foreword to
The Biosphere, the book version of Scientific
American's September 1970 special issue on The
"The growth in CO2 emissions closely follows the
growth in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) corrected
for improvements in energy efficiency."
P. Friedlingstein, et al. "Update on CO2 emissions."
Nature Geoscience. Published online: 21 November 2010
"Changes in world GDP (WGDP) have a significant
effect on CO2 concentrations, so that years of
above-trend WGDP are years of greater rise of CO2
Granados et al. Climate change and the world
economy: short-run determinants of atmospheric
CO2. Environmental science & policy 21 (2012)
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